NWS Gray, Maine Area Forecast Discussion
774
FXUS61 KGYX 251114
AFDGYX
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Gray ME
614 AM EST Wed Feb 25 2026
.WHAT HAS CHANGED...
No significant changes needed with the morning update, just
added in the latest observations to capture the near term trends.
The forecast remains on track as webcams show flakes starting
to fly in southwestern New Hampshire. This area of snow moves
northeastward through the morning and is still expected to be
done by early to mid-afternoon.
&&
.KEY MESSAGES...
1. A period of snow will spread across the region from west to
east during the morning commute, resulting in slippery travel
conditions. Additional afternoon and evening snow showers are
then possible, especially from the foothills and points north.
2. Mainly quiet weather is likely late week through the upcoming
weekend with near to above average temperatures.
&&
.DISCUSSION...
KEY MESSAGE 1 DESCRIPTION...
A surface warm front will lift northward this morning as low
pressure moves across Quebec. This will result in a period of
light snowfall, bringing impacts to the morning commute. Timing
wise, snow will begin between 6-8 am across much of NH before
extending into western ME between 8-10 am. Snowfall rates of
generally up to 1/2"/hr can be expected, although some rates may
briefly approach 1"/hr across portions of southwestern ME due
to some weak coastal development. Snow will then end from west
to east beginning late morning/early afternoon across much of NH
and then early to mid-afternoon across western ME. Total
snowfall of 1-3" is expected with localized amounts up to around
4" possible.
High temperatures will range from the upper 20s/lower 30s across
the north and interior with upper 30s to near 40 degrees along
the coast and in southern NH. A cold front and trof will arrive
late day and into the evening and this may result in additional
scattered snow showers, especially from the foothills and points
north.
KEY MESSAGE 2 DESCRIPTION...
A weak surface low looks to develop off the east coast Thursday
night. Depending on the storm track, the low may bring some light
snow to the immediate coastline. The system will move quickly across
the region, and if there is any accumulation it will most likely be
a dusting or less.
A fairly quiet period of weather is forecast for the upcoming
weekend. A mid-level ridge looks to build up at the end of the week,
allowing for a thaw into the weekend. High temperatures are
currently forecasted in the upper 40s on Saturday, with dry weather
anticipated. Saturday afternoon, a low appears to pass over Quebec
with a dry cold front possibly moving southeastward. The passing
front will allow for colder temperatures to work their way back into
the region for the start of next week.
&&
.AVIATION /12Z WEDNESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/...
Through 12Z Thursday...Snow is just pushing into NH at the 11Z
hour and then pushes eastward through the morning. This will
likely result in MVFR ceilings and IFR to LIFR vis. Lowest vis
is expected to be across EEN, CON, MHT, PSM, and then up the ME
coast where periods of 1/2SM is possible. Vis should improve
after noon local, but ceilings may remain down. There may be a
period of localized LLWS between 12z and 18z pushing across the
forecast area, generally 30 to 40 kts. A cold front will bring
SHSN this evening. These could bring erratic gusts and locally
lower vis. Conditions are then expected to trend back to VFR
after around 21Z and prevail into Thursday morning.
Outlook:
Thursday: VFR conditions expected.
Thursday Night: VFR conditions expected.
Friday: VFR conditions expected.
Friday Night: VFR conditions expected.
Saturday: VFR conditions expected.
Saturday Night: VFR conditions expected.
Sunday: VFR conditions expected.
&&
.MARINE...
W-SW wind gusts up to 30 kts are likely outside of the bays at
times through Thursday with seas of 2-5 ft. S-SW gusts up to 25
kts are likely late this morning through early this evening
across western Penobscot Bay with seas of 1-3 ft. Across Casco
Bay, winds and seas should remain below SCA criteria. Winds and
seas then look to remain below SCA criteria until perhaps
Saturday as S winds increase.
&&
.GYX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
ME...None.
NH...None.
MARINE...Small Craft Advisory until 7 PM EST Thursday for ANZ150-152-
154.
Small Craft Advisory from 11 AM this morning to 7 PM EST this
evening for ANZ151.
&&
$$
DISCUSSION...Baron/Palmer/Tubbs
AVIATION...Baron/Palmer/Tubbs
MARINE...Palmer/Tubbs
NWS GYX Office Area Forecast Discussion
