NWS Gray, Maine Area Forecast Discussion
492
FXUS61 KGYX 010600
AFDGYX
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Gray ME
100 AM EST Sun Feb 1 2026
.WHAT HAS CHANGED...
Low temperatures this morning are colder than previously
expected. Otherwise, little change since the previous forecast
cycle.
&&
.KEY MESSAGES...
1. Remaining very cold through this morning with low
temperatures well below zero in many locations. A slight
moderating trend begins later today.
2. Minor coastal flooding remains possible, especially during
the Monday morning high tide cycle.
3. Temperatures will warm back closer to normal through mid
next week with colder readings returning by the weekend. A
couple of weak clipper systems will bring periodic chances of
light snow mid to late week.
&&
.DISCUSSION...
KEY MESSAGE 1 DESCRIPTION...
Very cold temperatures will persist through early this morning
as mainly clear skies and light winds have allowed for excellent
radiational cooling conditions. Readings well below zero are
common with some locations into the teens below zero.
Temperatures will begin a slow and modest warming trend later
today with highs reaching the lower to middle 20s in most
locations under partly sunny skies. Winds will remains more
elevated tonight, limiting lows to the single digits in most
locations.
KEY MESSAGE 2 DESCRIPTION...
High astronomical tides combined with between 1.5-2.0 ft of
storm surge from distant low pressure over the open North
Atlantic will bring total water levels to near minor flood stage
both this morning and especially Monday morning. A coastal flood
advisory may eventually be needed for portions of the coast.
KEY MESSAGE 3 DESCRIPTION...
Upper level ridging and high pressure at the surface will lead
to high temperatures returning to right around normal for this
time of year by Monday/Tuesday. Tuesday night into Wednesday,
we then transition back into southwest flow aloft as the next
shortwave trough/upper low approaches. This wave will lead to
some isolated/scattered light snow showers during the day on
Wednesday with the best chances in the mountains and vicinity.
Highs on Wednesday will be similar to Tuesday but maybe a bit
cooler in the mountains and valleys under plenty of cloud cover.
Persistent troughing will then lead to more chances of light
snow and slightly below normal temperatures through the rest of
the week and into the weekend. While it`s still a ways out, it
appears the next best chance for some widespread light snow will
be Friday or Saturday, after which we will also trend back
towards colder temperatures.
&&
.AVIATION /06Z SUNDAY THROUGH THURSDAY/...
Through 06z Monday: Mainly VFR conditions with perhaps some
MVFR ceilings at KHIE and KLEB through this morning. Ceilings
just offshore will go MVFR to IFR tonight into Sunday morning,
and have noted some FEW/SCT in coastal terminals in proximity. N
winds will increase this afternoon with gusts up to 25 kts and
will remain elevated through tonight.
Outlook:
Monday: VFR conditions with NW winds between 5-15 kts, gusts to
25 kts.
Monday night: VFR expected.
Tuesday/Tuesday night: VFR expected.
Wednesday/Wednesday night: MVFR possible north, VFR more likely
elsewhere. Snow showers possible.
Thursday: VFR expected south, MVFR more likely north. Snow showers
possible in the mountains and vicinity.
&&
.MARINE...
Gale force northerly winds expected on Sunday through Monday
morning with gusts up to 45 kts and seas of 7-10 ft outside of
the bays/harbors. Moderate freezing spray is also likely through
Sunday afternoon.
Seas will remain elevated through Monday night outside of the bays
at 4-9 ft. Winds and seas will then largely remain below SCA
criteria through the remainder of the period.
&&
.GYX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
ME...None.
NH...None.
MARINE...Freezing Spray Advisory from 4 AM to 1 PM EST Sunday for
ANZ150>154.
Gale Warning from noon Sunday to 7 AM EST Monday for
ANZ150>154.
&&
$$
DISCUSSION...Tubbs/Hargrove
Aviation...Tubbs/Hargrove/Cornwell
NWS GYX Office Area Forecast Discussion
