NWS Gray, Maine Area Forecast Discussion
790
FXUS61 KGYX 262344
AFDGYX
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Gray ME
644 PM EST Thu Feb 26 2026
.WHAT HAS CHANGED...
No forecast changes this evening on what continues to be a
quiet and cold night.
&&
.KEY MESSAGES...
1. Warmer temperatures in store for Saturday.
2. Light snow possible Sunday.
3. Brief shot of well below normal temperatures early next
week.
&&
.DISCUSSION...
KEY MESSAGE 1 DESCRIPTION...
Not much to say other than widespread 40s are expected Sat.
This will be notable only because of how cold it has been in
2026. There have really only been a handful of above normal
days, so this will feel especially spring-like.
KEY MESSAGE 2 DESCRIPTION...
Cold front approaches Sun with warm advection continuing ahead
of it. The combination of warm advection and frontal lift may be
enough for an area of light snow to move quickly thru the
forecast area. Ensemble guidance is roughly 60/40 in favor of
some light QPF Sun, so I have opted to bump NBM PoP to around 50
percent from 30. Given how quickly things will be moving and
how marginal temps are, any snow accumulation should be light.
Current forecast is for an inch or less across the forecast
area.
KEY MESSAGE 3 DESCRIPTION...
Good ensemble signal for much colder weather by Sun night into
Mon. Once cold front drives thru the region temps will fall thru
Sun night. NBM guidance is a good 10 degrees below normal
already. This seemed a fair forecast to highlight well below
normal temps. Will have to watch whether winds can remain up
thru Sun night because it is possible that wind chills could dip
to 20 below across the northern zones if that is the case. This
cold air will be rather fleeting though, with temps returning
to near normal by Tue.
&&
.AVIATION /00Z FRIDAY THROUGH TUESDAY/...
Any lingering wind gusts drop quickly late this afternoon and
early this evening. Otherwise VFR conditions prevail thru Fri.
Outlook:
Friday Night: VFR conditions expected.
Saturday: VFR conditions expected.
Saturday Night: VFR conditions expected.
Sunday: Areas of IFR in light snow/snow showers possible.
Sunday Night: VFR conditions expected.
Monday: VFR conditions expected.
Monday Night: VFR conditions expected.
&&
.MARINE...
Winds and seas continue to diminish tonight and remain below
SCA thresholds thru Fri night. Sat southwesterly winds will
begin to increase ahead of an approaching cold front and
marginal SCA conditions are possible outside of the bays. This
may continue thru Sun until the front crosses the waters and
winds shift to westerly. They remain gusty immediately behind
the front before diminishing Mon.
&&
.GYX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
ME...None.
NH...None.
MARINE...None.
&&
$$
DISCUSSION...Ekster/Legro
AVIATION...Legro
MARINE...Legro
NWS GYX Office Area Forecast Discussion
