NWS Gray, Maine Area Forecast Discussion
410
FXUS61 KGYX 311816
AFDGYX
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Gray ME
116 PM EST Sat Jan 31 2026
.WHAT HAS CHANGED...
Issued a Freezing Spray Advisory over the open waters for
tomorrow. Otherwise, minimal has changed for the current weekend
forecast.
Tide levels continue to trend slightly lower for Sunday Night and
Monday as a powerful ocean storm tracks slightly further out to sea.
However, minor coastal flooding remains possible around the time of
high tide Sunday night and Monday.
&&
.KEY MESSAGES...
1. Cold weather continues through tomorrow morning. A warmer
day is expected Sunday, with high temperatures in the teens and
lower 20s.
2. Minor coastal flood remains possible around the times of
high tide Sunday night and Monday morning.
3. A relative warm up brings temperatures close to average
early this upcoming week. Then, another cool down is expected by
late next week.
&&
.DISCUSSION...
KEY MESSAGE 1 DESCRIPTION...
High pressure overhead this evening will allow for some pockets
of radiational cooling across New Hampshire and Maine. The setup
looks similar to this morning`s, with the most significant
radiational cooling likely to be in the foothills, especially near
Fryeburg. What will make tonight`s cooling different is that upper-
level heights will be about 6dms higher than last night, in addition
to some intermittent very light northerly winds. Lows are expected
to be in the single digits below zero, with perhaps some double
digit below zero readings in low-lying areas near Littleton, NH and
Fryeburg.
KEY MESSAGE 2 DESCRIPTION...
The combination of high astronomical tides, surge, and high
surf from an offshore storm brings multiple chances for minor
coastal flooding late Sunday evening, and again late Monday
morning. Overall the storm has trended a little further out to
sea, lessening the overall impact potential. However, minor
coastal flooding, splashover, and some beach erosion remain
possible through the event. The best chance for this will be
along the NH Seacoast, where the highest surge and largest waves
are expected with the northerly flow.
KEY MESSAGE 3 DESCRIPTION...
A ridge of high pressure builds in from the southwest early
this week, bringing a relative warm up to start the week. While
few would consider temps getting back to near freezing as warm,
this would be the warmest readings we`ve seen on over a week and
a half. Widespread highs in the low 30s are expected south of
the mountains and foothills Monday through Wednesday.
Then for the second half of the week, colder temps likely
return as the next trough digs into the Northeast US from
Canada. Some uncertainty remains on where the coldest portion of
the airmass will be directed into the US, but the potential
exists for highs in the teens and sub zero lows to return by
next weekend.
&&
.AVIATION /18Z SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY/...
VFR conditions are expected through the weekend, though some
high MVFR is possible in HIE. Clouds build in Sunday afternoon
as a low moves offshore. No precipitation is expected and these
clouds should be at VFR levels.
Outlook:
Tonight: VFR Expected.
Sunday: VFR Expected.
Sunday Night: VFR Expected.
Monday - Tuesday Night: VFR Expected.
Wednesday - Wednesday night: MVFR possible north, VFR more
likely elsewhere, and snow showers possible.
Thursday - Friday: VFR expected south, MVFR more likely north.
&&
.MARINE...
Light northerly winds and 2-3ft seas this afternoon will
gradually build as a low moves across the Atlantic Ocean. By
Sunday morning, northerly winds strengthen to Gale Force, with
3-6ft seas expected. Gales will continue through the day, with
perhaps a few near storm force gusts possible Sunday evening.
These stronger gusts are most likely offshore from Penobscot
Bay. Winds slacken Sunday night, but seas continue to build a
little more. 4-9ft seas are expected by early Monday morning,
but winds should weaken to SCA levels.
SCA conditions ease by Tuesday morning as high pressure builds
across the waters. This window of fair conditions last into
Wednesday. A cold front crosses the waters late Wednesday, with
SCA conditions possible behind the front Wednesday night and
Thursday.
&&
.GYX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
ME...None.
NH...None.
MARINE...Freezing Spray Advisory from 4 AM to 1 PM EST Sunday for
ANZ150>154.
Gale Warning from noon Sunday to 7 AM EST Monday for
ANZ150>154.
&&
$$
DISCUSSION...Clair/Palmer
NWS GYX Office Area Forecast Discussion
