NWS Caribou, Maine Area Forecast Discussion
205
FXUS61 KCAR 082324
AFDCAR
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Caribou ME
624 PM EST Sat Nov 8 2025
.SYNOPSIS...
High pressure builds into the area tonight. Low pressure will
approach Sunday, cross the area Monday, then move north of the
region Tuesday. Upper level disturbances will cross the region
Wednesday into Thursday.
&&
.NEAR TERM /THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT/...
Update...
High pressure will build across the region tonight with mainly
clear to partly cloudy skies expected across the region. Lows
by morning will range from the upper teens to lower 20s across
the north and mid to upper 20s for the Bangor region and
Downeast. The current forecast is in good shape so no major
changes needed at this hour.
See updated marine and aviation sections.
previous discussion
Tomorrow, precipitation chances increase as low systems move
into the region. Some models are signaling a surface trough
draped over the state, which is a favorable set up for cold air
damming in the Central Highlands region. Dropped temperatures
down during the day Sunday, as a result of this. Otherwise,
daytime high temperatures generally in the upper-30s in the
north, to mid-40s Downeast and along the coast.
Sunday night, temperatures drop down into the upper-20s and
low-30s in the north, and upper-30s and low-40s Downeast and
along the coast. Winds begin to pick up Sunday night as cold
front associated with these interacting lows crosses the area.
Strong mid-level jet swings through central Maine along trough
axis, with plenty of elevated upper level winds. Precipitation
overnight begins as snow north of I-95, with a narrow rain/snow
transition along the central Highlands, and rain to the south.
There is a slight chance of freezing rain, predominantly in the
North Woods and northwestern Aroostook county on Sunday night,
which would transition over to rain by daybreak. Remember that
freezing rain can cause slick surfaces so exercise caution if
outside or commuting.
&&
.SHORT TERM /MONDAY THROUGH TUESDAY/...
Gradually intensifying low pressure will lift from southern New
England toward the Maine coast Monday, with an inverted trof
extending north across the forecast area from the system. Based
on critical thicknesses, could have a possible rain/snow mix
across northern areas early Monday. Otherwise, expect
precipitation in the form of rain Monday. The still deepening
low tracks north across the forecast area Monday night, reaching
the Saint Lawrence Valley late. Rain will persist across the
forecast area early Monday night tapering to showers late. The
system will wrap colder air across the region later Monday
night, though how rapidly this occurs is still uncertain. If
this occurs rapidly enough rain showers could mix with, or
transition to, snow showers across mostly northern and higher
terrain portions of the forecast area later Monday night. The
low should track toward western Labrador Tuesday while the upper
trof crosses the forecast area. Expect mostly cloudy skies
along with a chance of rain/snow showers across northern areas
Tuesday, with partly sunny skies along with a chance of rain
showers Downeast. Expect a chance of rain/snow showers early,
with a slight chance of snow showers late, along with mostly
cloudy skies across northern areas Tuesday night. Across
Downeast areas Tuesday night could still have a slight chance of
rain showers early with otherwise partly cloudy skies. Expect
slightly above normal level temperatures Monday, then slightly
below normal level temperatures Tuesday.
&&
.LONG TERM /TUESDAY NIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY/...
Expect brief ridging early Wednesday, with a disturbance then
approaching late. Expect partly/mostly cloudy skies early Wednesday.
Will then have a chance of afternoon rain/snow showers across
northern areas, with a chance of afternoon rain showers Downeast.
Will then have a chance of snow showers north Wednesday night, with
a slight chance/chance of rain and snow showers Downeast. Upper
level troffing will remain across the region Thursday/Friday while a
series of difficult to time disturbances move through the trof. Will
have a chance of rain/snow showers across northern areas Thursday,
with a chance of snow showers Thursday night. Across Downeast areas,
expect a chance of rain showers Thursday with a slight chance of
rain/snow showers early Thursday night. Expect mostly cloudy skies
along with a slight chance of rain/snow showers across northern
areas Friday, with generally partly cloudy skies Downeast. The upper
trof should begin to exit across the Maritimes Saturday, though how
rapidly this occurs is still uncertain. Generally expect partly
cloudy skies Saturday, though if the upper trof is slower to
exit could also still have a slight chance of rain/snow showers
across the north and mountains. Expect slightly below normal
level temperatures Wednesday through Saturday.
&&
.AVIATION /00Z SUNDAY THROUGH THURSDAY/...
NEAR TERM: VFR conditions expected through Sunday afternoon. NW
wind around 5 kt this evening, becoming light and variable
Sunday.
Outlook for Sunday night...MVFR/IFR snow and rain. NE wind.
SHORT TERM:
Monday...IFR/LIFR. A chance of snow early north. Otherwise, rain.
East/northeast winds 10 to 15 knots with gusts up to around 20
knots, becoming variable 5 to 10 knots.
Monday night...IFR/LIFR. Rain, tapering to rain/snow showers north,
tapering to rain showers Downeast. Variable winds 5 to 10 knots,
becoming west/southwest around 10 knots.
Tuesday...VFR/MVFR. A chance of rain/snow showers north, with a
chance of rain showers Downeast. West winds 10 to 15 knots with
gusts up to around 20 knots.
Tuesday night...VFR/MVFR with a chance of rain/snow showers north.
VFR Downeast with a slight chance of rain showers early. West winds
10 to 15 knots.
Wednesday...VFR/MVFR. A chance of rain/snow showers north. A chance
of rain showers Downeast. South/southwest winds 10 to 15 knots.
Wednesday night...MVFR/IFR. A chance of rain/snow showers, then a
chance of snow showers north. A chance of rain showers, then a
slight chance of rain/snow showers Downeast. Variable winds 5 to 10
knots.
Thursday...VFR/MVFR. A chance of rain/snow showers north. A
slight chance of rain showers Downeast. West/northwest winds
around 10 knots.
&&
.MARINE...
NEAR TERM: Discontinued the SCA for the intra coastal zones.
Small Craft Advisory remains in effect until 1 AM EST, for the
outer waters.
Winds/seas will remain below SCA levels on Sunday then increase
to SCA levels Sunday night.
SHORT TERM: Small craft advisory conditions Monday into Tuesday.
Gale force wind gusts possible Tuesday night into Wednesday.
Rain Monday into Monday night. A chance of rain showers Tuesday
into Tuesday night.
&&
.CAR WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
ME...None.
MARINE...Small Craft Advisory until 1 AM EST Sunday for ANZ050-051.
&&
$$
Near Term...ASB/TWD
Short Term...CN
Long Term...CN
Aviation...ASB/TWD/CN
Marine...ASB/TWD/CN
NWS CAR Office Area Forecast Discussion
