NWS Caribou, Maine Area Forecast Discussion
968
FXUS61 KCAR 081040
AFDCAR
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Caribou ME
640 AM EDT Wed Apr 8 2026
.WHAT HAS CHANGED...
- Updated aviation discussion.
&&
.KEY MESSAGES...
1) Low relative humidity expected today and Thursday which
could lead to increased fire weather concerns in areas with no
snow pack.
2) Chance for low relative humidity and gusty winds Sunday
afternoon. This could lead to increased fire weather concerns in
areas with no snow pack.
&&
.DISCUSSION...
KEY MESSAGE 1...
Low relative humidity expected today and Thursday which may
lead to increased fire weather concerns in areas with no snow
pack.
KEY MESSAGE 1 DESCRIPTION...
High pressure ridged south of Maine will bring dry conditions
and low relative humidity to the region today and Thursday.
Relative humidity values this afternoon will fall below 30
percent across southern and central portions of the region, with
30 to 35 percent values across northern areas. Wind gusts today
could be up to around 15 mph across southern areas and up to
around 20 mph across northern areas. Afternoon relative humidity
values Thursday will generally range from 30 to 35 percent
across the region inland from the Downeast coast. Higher humidity
values will occur along the Downeast coast with onshore winds.
Southerly wind gusts of 20 to 30 mph are expected Thursday with
the strongest winds during the afternoon. Fire weather concerns
are possible both today and Thursday in areas with no snow
cover.
KEY MESSAGE 2...
Chance for low relative humidity and gusty winds Sunday
afternoon. This could lead to increased fire weather concerns in
areas with no snow pack.
KEY MESSAGE 2 DESCRIPTION...
NW flow aloft, with the region on the east (front) side of a
deep layered ridge, should allow for continued drying of the low
levels. As a result, have a 30-50% chance for relative humidity
levels less than 30% Sunday afternoon. In addition, a
tightening surface pressure gradient, and increasing winds in
the low levels results in a 30-50% chance of wind gusts greater
than 20 mph Sunday afternoon. The combination of these two
factors, could result in increased fire weather concerns Sunday
afternoon, especially in areas with no snow pack. This should
mainly be from the Central Highlands and Southern Aroostook on
south.
&&
.AVIATION /10Z WEDNESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/...
Today...VFR. West/northwest winds 10 to 15 knots, becoming
west/southwest 5 to 10 knots.
Tonight through Thursday...VFR. South/southwest winds 5 to 10
knots tonight. South winds around 10 knots increasing to 10 to
20 knots with gusts up to around 25 knots Thursday.
Thursday night: Chance of MVFR or lower. LLWS possible.
Friday-Friday night: IFR or lower possible. MW winds G15-20KT
possible Friday night
Saturday: Becoming VFR throughout from NW to SE. NW winds
G15-25KT possible.
Saturday night-Sunday: VFR. NW winds G15-20KT possible on Sunday.
&&
.MARINE...
A Small Craft Advisory remains in effect for all the waters
through 9 AM. Thereafter, conditions are expected to be below
small craft advisory levels through Thursday.
SCA conditions are possible Thursday night and should be just be
below SCA levels on Friday on all waters. Conditions should be
just below SCA levels Friday night on the coastal ocean waters
east of Schoodic Point, and solidly below SCA levels elsewhere.
All waters should remain below SCA levels through Sunday. There
then is a chance of SCA conditions developing on all waters
Sunday night.
&&
.CAR WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
ME...None.
MARINE...Small Craft Advisory until 9 AM EDT this morning for
ANZ050>052.
&&
$$
DISCUSSION...PM/CN
AVIATION...PM/CN
NWS CAR Office Area Forecast Discussion
