NWS Caribou, Maine Area Forecast Discussion
482
FXUS61 KCAR 262340
AFDCAR
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Caribou ME
640 PM EST Thu Feb 26 2026
.WHAT HAS CHANGED...
630 PM Update
- Updated aviation section based on 0Z TAFs
- Extended the Small Craft Advisory for the offshore waters
previous
- No significant changes.
&&
.KEY MESSAGES...
1) A strong cold front crosses the region Saturday afternoon into
the evening. Snow and rain showers will occur in advance of the
front. Snow showers, possible snow squalls, could occur with
colder air in the wake of the front. Reduced visibilities and
hazardous travel are possible.
2) Much below normal level temperatures Sunday and Monday. The coldest
temperatures will occur Sunday night. Temperatures will begin to
recover Tuesday into Wednesday.
&&
.DISCUSSION...
KEY MESSAGE 1...A strong cold front crosses the region Saturday afternoon
into the evening. Snow and rain showers will occur in advance
of the front. Snow showers, possible snow squalls, could occur
with colder air in the wake of the front. Reduced visibilities
and hazardous travel are possible.
KEY MESSAGE 1 DESCRIPTION...
An initial cold front will cross the region Saturday afternoon,
with a secondary Arctic front later Saturday afternoon into the
evening. Temperatures in advance of the initial front could be
warm enough to support either snow or rain showers. Colder air
will then surge across the region in the wake of the secondary
Arctic cold front. This will allow precipitation to change to
snow showers. Based on forecast soundings and snow squall
parameters, isolated snow squalls are also possible with the
Arctic front. Reduced visibilities and hazardous traveling
conditions could accompany any snow showers or squalls. Wet road
surfaces could also begin to rapidly freeze with the cold air.
KEY MESSAGE 2...Much below normal level temperatures Sunday and Monday.
The coldest temperatures will occur Sunday night. Temperatures
will begin to recover Tuesday into Wednesday.
KEY MESSAGE 2 DESCRIPTION...
Arctic air will bring much below normal level temperatures to the
region Sunday into Monday. High temperatures Sunday will range
from the mid to upper teens north, to the mid to upper 20s
Downeast. Low temperatures Sunday night will range from around
10 to 15 below zero north, to around zero to 5 above Downeast.
High temperatures Monday will range from the lower to mid teens
north, to around 20 to the lower 20 Downeast. Low temperatures
Monday night will range from around 5 to 10 below zero north, to
around 0 to 5 above Downeast. Temperatures will recover to
slightly below normal levels Tuesday, reaching slightly above
normal levels Wednesday.
&&
.AVIATION /00Z FRIDAY THROUGH TUESDAY/...
VFR through Friday night all terminals. Only exception is low
chance MVFR ceilings VCNTY KFVE 03z to 08z tonight but too low
confidence to include in TAF. W wind 5 to 10 kt tonight through
Friday morning, becoming S Friday afternoon and Friday night.
Saturday...Variable conditions with any snow/rain showers,
possible snow squalls, mostly across northern areas. Otherwise,
VFR/MVFR. South winds 10 to 15 knots with gust up to 20 to 25
knots, becoming south/southwest.
Saturday night...Variable conditions with any snow showers, possible
snow squalls, early mostly north. Otherwise, VFR/MVFR. Southwest
winds 10 to 15 knots, becoming northwest/north.
Sunday...VFR/MVFR with isolated to scattered snow showers.
North/northwest winds 10 to 15 knots with gusts up to around 20
knots.
Sunday night...VFR/MVFR with isolated snow showers north. VFR
Downeast. North/northwest winds 10 to 15 knots.
Monday through Monday night...VFR. Northwest/west winds 10 to 15
knots with gusts up to around 20 knots Monday. West/southwest winds
5 to 10 knots Monday night.
Tuesday...VFR/MVFR with isolated snow showers north. VFR Downeast.
Southwest winds 10 to 15 knots with gusts up to around 20 knots.
&&
.MARINE...
Have extended the SCA through this evening as seas are still
hovering around 6 ft on the offshore waters. Winds and seas
look to remain below small craft levels through the day on
Friday. Winds could once again reach SCA levels Friday night.
Light freezing spray develops over the waters on Friday morning.
Small craft advisory level conditions are expected Saturday into
Sunday night. A slight chance of snow showers Saturday night,
then a chance of snow showers Sunday. Moderate freezing spray
Sunday night into Monday.
&&
.CAR WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
ME...None.
MARINE...Small Craft Advisory until 1 AM EST Friday for ANZ050-051.
&&
$$
DISCUSSION...TWD/ARL/CN
AVIATION...TWD/CN
MARINE...TWD/ARL/CN
NWS CAR Office Area Forecast Discussion
